This article is part of The D.C. Brief, TIME’s politics newsletter. Sign up here to get stories like this sent to your inbox. For those living inside the bubble of presidential politics, the last three months could give one a sense of vertigo. Beyond the barrage of history-making moments—Joe Biden experiencing the most embarrassing senior moment ever on live TV; Donald Trump surviving not one, but two assassination attempts; Kamala Harris absolutely dominating in her debate against Trump—things just seemed to feel different. [time-brightcove not-tgx=”true”] But as the polls continue to show an incredibly tight race, it was entirely reasonable to say that even swapping candidates wasn’t going to mean much in a nation so deeply divided on partisan lines.

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