Ever since the steroid era, baseball fans have been cautious about reading too much into unexpected leaps in player performance. Today’s jaded rooters assume that performance-enhancing drugs are to blame, somehow, whenever a player experiences a breakout or the league undergoes a transformation. So it’s no surprise that, with home runs flying out of parks at nearly an all-time high in 2016, many have reacted by assigning the responsibility to some undetectable new PED.After exhaustive consideration, my former FiveThirtyEight colleague Ben Lindbergh and I concluded that the most likely culprit for 2016’s home run explosion is a change to the construction of the ball.
Steroids Probably Aren’t Causing Baseball’s Power Surge
Rob Arthur, FiveThirtyEight: Sports
Thu, 08/11/2016 - 9:59am
Topics: fivethirtyeight ben lindbergh all-star mlb given haitian jean-claude duvalier s costa rican 2 but mlb s world war ii roger maris s i m pas jose canseco bonds ped i in mlb s mlb rawlings haiti costa rica hr/pa barry sammy sosa mark mcgwire hr mcgwire sosa aren baseball power surge home era league runs average players top age game run plate years change current seasons balls player rate changed appearance largest rates older year jump start number level today gap leaps latest homers affected features compared season late home-run fell modern rubber
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