The Aug. 30 primary presents a rare opportunity and a challenging conundrum for anyone who wants to make predictions.
Voter turnout in these primaries are always low. In Duval, Clay and Nassau counties in 2012, only 22.6 percent of voters actually voted in 2012’s primaries. But that turnout is low, in part, because usually these primaries lack both competition and excitement.
Not so for 2016. These primaries may be the most competitive and costly in Northeast Florida’s recent memory: