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Bookmark or Share- EASURING THE OUTPUT RESPONSES TO FISCAL OLICYAlan Auerbach Yuriy Gorodnichenko University of California, Berkeley University of California, Berkeley August 2010 Abstract A key issue in current research and policy is the size of fiscal multipliers when the economy is in recession. Using a variety of methods and data sources, we provide three insights.
- THE INFLATION EXPECTATIONS OF IRMS EVIDENCE FROM A NEW SURVEYYuriy Gorodnichenko UC Berkeley and NBER First draft: August 8th, 2020 This draft: September 10h, 2021 Abstract: Introducing a new survey of U.S. firms’ inflation expectations, we document key stylized facts involving what U.S. firms know and expect about inflation and monetary policy.
- Yuriy Gorodnichenko Byoungchan Lee University of California – Berkeley ...Yuriy Gorodnichenko Byoungchan Lee University of California – Berkeley and NBER University of California – Berkeley March 15, 2019 Abstract: We propose and study properties of an estimator of the forecast error variance decomposition in the local projections framework. We find for empirically relevant sample sizes that, after
- Alan Auerbach | Department of Economics - University of California ..."Macroeconomic Frameworks: Reconciling Evidence and Model Predictions from Demand Shocks" with Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Daniel Murphy, February 2023
- THE VOICE OF MONETARY POLICY - University of California, BerkeleyYuriy Gorodnichenko University of California, Berkeley, and NBER Tho Pham University of Reading Oleksandr Talavera University of Birmingham First draft: October 31, 2020 This draft: June 14, 2022 Abstract: We develop a deep learning model to de tect emotions embedded in press
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