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A look at national polling accuracy | Pew Research Center
A 2021 Center poll found that 15% of U.S. adults favor decreasing spending on policing in their area. Such an estimate could be four points too high (19%) or four points too low (11%), but it still conveys the correct overarching narrative that decreasing such spending is not a broadly held view.
What are the best pollsters in America? - ABC News
Most pollsters score between a 1.9 and 2.8, representing what we see as America's core block of good pollsters. Pollsters between 1.5 and 1.9 stars are decent, but they typically score poorly on ...
The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight
Polls were historically accurate in 2021-22. Weighted-average error of polls in the final 21 days* before presidential primary and presidential, Senate, House and gubernatorial general...
Pollster Ratings | FiveThirtyEight
538’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and methodological transparency of each polling organization’s polls. We define accuracy as the average adjusted error...
National Polls | FiveThirtyEight
Download. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and...
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