When it comes to hour-by-hour and, in some cases, minute-by-minute Election Day horse race results, many political scientists say you’re better off avoiding it all. Close Twitter. Minimize your browser. Throw your phone in a lake. That’s partly because while day-of projections, which are based on voter turnout numbers and historical voting patterns, are good at providing a glimpse into the right now, they often don’t reflect bigger picture trends.