iStock; Rebecca Zisser/BIA recession looks likely for the US economy by early 2025, according to Steve Hanke.That's evident in the contraction in the money supply, a rare signal that's only flashed four time in the last century.A contraction in the money supply was followed by a recession or depression in every instance, Hanke said.The US economy is poised to enter a recession, as evidenced by a rare economic indicator with a perfect track record of signaling a downturn, according to top economist Steve Hanke.The Johns Hopkins professor issued a bearish outlook on the US economy in an interview with the wealth advisory firm Wealthion on Tuesday.