The Economy Elects The President But Not The Congress

Lynn Vavreck: "In presidential elections, if the economy grows during the election year, the incumbent president (or the incumbent's party) is more likely to be re-elected. The correlation is so impressive that political scientists often refer to national economic conditions as part of the structural or fundamental conditions that drive election outcomes." "But while the nation's economy is a strong shaper of presidential election outcomes, the president himself is the shaper of congressional outcomes."

Topics:  vavreck   economy   president   congress   outcomes   election   shaper   conditions   incumbent   
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