Comment on U.S. has skirted a recession, but watch for big shifts in trade and immigration policies, economist advises

U.S. has skirted a recession, but watch for big shifts in trade and immigration policies, economist advises

Economist Elliot Eisenberg makes a yearly trek to provide the Denver Metro Association of Realtors with a forecast. On Thursday he provided a mea culpa to his audience for telling them last January to prepare for a recession that never came. “I was wrong,” he said, noting that U.S. consumers have proven “remarkably resilient” and that he is optimistic the country can pull off something rarely seen — a sharp hike in interest rates without a downturn, also known as a “soft landing.” He and other recession forecasters expected consumers would run out of spending steam as their pandemic savings cushion, which hit $2.1 trillion in August 2021, dwindled.

 

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