Comment on Hurricane season isn’t over: A tropical cyclone could form in next two weeks, experts say

Temperatures have cooled in Florida recently, making it tempting to think that hurricane season is over. Mother Nature, however, may have something different in mind. In late October and November, the tropical Atlantic calms down and tends not to produce storms, but the Caribbean is a different story. Forecasters warn that several factors in the western Caribbean, including high water temperatures, indicate that a system could kick up in that region some time after Halloween. Brad Pugh, meteorologist at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s climate prediction center, said, “From what we’re seeing, I would be kind of surprised if we don’t have a tropical cyclone form over the next two to three weeks in the Caribbean.” He said NOAA’s calculations indicate there’s a 40-60% chance of development in the next two weeks in the same area that spawned both hurricanes Helene and Milton. Some models show development as early as the end of October, others toward the first week in November. There are key factors that are favoring that scenario, he said.