Comment on Russia's mass advantage against Ukraine should start declining by 2025, war expert says

Russia's mass advantage against Ukraine should start declining by 2025, war expert says

Russia may not run out of weapons and men anytime soon, but it can't sustain its level of aggression for long, Michael Kofman said.ALEXEY MALGAVKO/ReutersRussia is flooding Ukraine with men and equipment, but that should soon slow, analyst Michael Kofman said.Its high losses indicate its military is strained under its current level of aggression, he told the Intelligencer.While Kofman doesn't think Russia will run out of steam, he said the Kremlin will be forced to recalibrate.Russia's numbers advantage against Ukraine is likely to start diminishing as soon as the end of this year, said US-based military analyst Michael Kofman.Speaking to Intelligencer's Benjamin Hart in an interview published on Tuesday, Kofman said that while the Kremlin has sustained pressure on Ukraine while suffering high levels of attrition, it's now starting to struggle under "very significant constraints.""And if anything, its advantage on the battlefield is likely to decline as we get into this winter and look further ahead into 2025," said Kofman, a Kyiv-born senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace whose work focuses on Russia.Kofman was careful to tell Hart that he didn't think Russia would soon run out of equipment or men.

 

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