Comment on A Little Better Than a Toss Up

A Little Better Than a Toss Up

Nate Silver’s latest forecast gives Kamala Harris a 56% chance to win the presidential election. “I’ll grant you that a 56/44 forecast is in kind of a weird, uncomfortable zone. To be clear, the forecast is that Harris will win the Electoral College 56 percent of the time — not that she’ll beat Trump by 12 points — in other words that the race is basically a toss-up.

 

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