Comment on US declines to label China currency manipulator

“Donald Trump’s onetime ambassador and former primary rival, Nikki Haley, is in talks to join him on the campaign trail in an attempt to win over disaffected Republicans,” The Bulwark reports. “The details and dates for the joint appearance haven’t been fully worked out, but the likeliest scenario would put the two together at a town hall toward the end of the month, perhaps involving Fox News personality Sean Hannity.” “Facing a yawning gender gap, Trump’s campaign has hosted five other town halls moderated by female political figures since August, but none with the stature of Haley.”

Tara Palmeri: “Despite the endless and voluminous and ubiquitous polling suggesting that we are careening toward a historically tight election, Donald Trump can only see an outcome in which he wins. Inside Mar-a-Lago, I’ve heard that Trump is uncharacteristically buoyant, almost cavalier, convinced that victory is his.” “Yes, some in Trump’s orbit are concerned about displaced voters in North Carolina, but the only thing that the former president believes could cause him to fail, I’ve been told, is if the Republican National Committee election integrity unit—which includes at least one 2020 election denier—fails him.”

“Donald Trump and Melania Trump were all smiles as they made a rare public appearance together at the Al Smith charity dinner in New York City,” The Independent reports. ABC News: Trump lashes out at Harris for missing traditional NYC Catholic charity event.

Judge Tanya Chutkan has denied Donald Trump’s effort to block a new dossier of Special Counsel Jack Smith’s evidence in the election inference case from becoming public. From the decision: “The court will therefore continue to keep political considerations out of its decision-making, rather than incorporating them as Defendant requests.” Chutkan said she will unseal the evidence tomorrow. Politico: Turns out we’ll see a big Jack Smith document dump before the election.

Nate Silver: “It was almost inevitably going to happen at some point, given how close the forecast has been to 50/50 since Kamala Harris took over for Joe Biden. But for the fourth time this cycle, the streams have crossed, and the nominal favorite in the race has changed. Thanks in part to one of the first high-quality national polls in weeks to show him ahead — yes, it’s from Fox News, but Fox News polling has no history of GOP bias — Donald Trump now has a 50.2 percent chance of winning the Electoral College.” “That’s not much different from Trump’s 49.4 percent chances yesterday: the difference is that he wins the Electoral College an additional 1 time out of 125.