Comment on Romney says odds of winning are "better than 50-50"

You probably don’t have any insider information — or maybe you do! — but you might have a hunch at how competitive each state will be. For instance, you might still think it’s unlikely that Kamala Harris will win Iowa, but after the Ann Selzer poll over the weekend maybe you want to give her a 30% chance. .memberful-global-teaser-content p:last-child{ -webkit-mask-image: linear-gradient(180deg, #000 0%, transparent); mask-image: linear-gradient(180deg, #000 0%, transparent); } Join now to continue reading. Members get exclusive analysis, bonus features and no advertising.

Jonathan Chait: “Donald Trump’s most mystifying quality is that his collection of political liabilities are so vast that they defy all attempts to summarize them. He is a career criminal, devoted authoritarian, longstanding racist, completely ignorant of basic facts of how government works, a sex pest, and overtly corrupt, just to name a few of his most obvious flaws.” “Nearly a decade into his nonstop campaigning, fresh evidence of his unfitness continues to emerge almost daily.

David Frum: “Over the succeeding four years of Trump’s term, I lived almost every day in a state of dread. Perhaps you did, too. Yet the American people proved equal to the work required of them. The guardrails shook, and in some places they cracked, yet when the ultimate test came, in January 2021, brave Americans of both great parties joined to beat back Trump’s violent attempted seizure of power.” “Now here we are again.

New York Times: “From Ms. Harris and her supporters, those messages cover a mix of kitchen-table issues on the economy and taxes, the fate of legal abortion and the dangers posed by a return of Mr. Trump to the White House.” “For Mr. Trump and his allies, one message dominates: Defeating Ms.

New York Times: “As president, Mr. Trump imposed tariffs in 2018 and 2019 on $300 billion of Chinese imports, a punishment he wielded in order to get China to negotiate a trade deal with the United States. His action triggered a trade war between Washington and Beijing, with China slapping retaliatory tariffs on American products.

“The Supreme Court on Monday agreed to hear an appeal over Louisiana’s more Democratic-friendly congressional districts, though the case won’t impact this year’s election,” CNN reports. “The fight over how to divvy up the state into six congressional districts has been playing out for years, with repeated stops at the Supreme Court.