If I’d told you a couple of weeks ago that North Carolina, Oklahoma and Villanova would be packing their bags for a Final Four date in Houston, you probably wouldn’t have batted an eyelid. (Assuming you weren’t a Kansas or Oregon fan.) According to FiveThirtyEight’s NCAA Tournament prediction model, the Sooners and Tar Heels were the most likely men’s teams to emerge from their regions, and the Wildcats were a strong second choice in theirs.