Seven years ago, the Houston Astros were in a similar situation to the one the Orioles are in now. The Astros ended a brutal rebuild the previous year as the biggest surprise in Major League Baseball, winning 86 games and making the postseason in 2015. The Orioles nearly did the same in 2022, climbing out of the rebuild instituted by some of the same people who operated Houston’s, by winning 84 games and nearly defying the odds to make the playoffs. The natural result of winning more games is a worse position in the draft, and the first time that Astros regime had to pick outside the first round’s top five, the result details the unpredictable nature of the draft.

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