Officials in Kabul who woke up early local time Tuesday to watch Donald Trump outline his strategy for Afghanistan must have grown nervous when the U.S. President said: “my original instinct was to pull out, and historically I like following my instincts.” For Afghanistan, a sudden withdrawal would have been the worst possible outcome of the new American administration’s review of its Afghan policy, putting a big question mark over the survival of the U.S.-backed government led by President Ashraf Ghani as the war there goes from bad to worse.

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