FiveThirtyEight

When New York University psychologist Jonathan Haidt asked about a thousand attendees at the annual meeting of the Society for Personality and Social Psychology in 2011 to identify their political views with a show of hands, only three hands went up for “conservative or on the right.” Separately, a survey of more than 500 social and personality psychologists published in 2012 found that only 6 percent identifi

Just in time for the NBA’s free agent bonanza (headlined by LeBron James’s The Decision: Part III), FiveThirtyEight has re-launched CARMELO, our NBA player projection system, with forecasts for 2018-19 and beyond.

The second half of Iran and Morocco’s tightly contested group match contained nothing too out of the ordinary by World Cup standards. Each side used all three substitutes; there was only one booking; no goals were scored.More | Talk | Read It Later | Share

Sports performance is a difficult thing to study. There are only so many trained athletes available for experiments, and most of the measurements required to investigate human performance are time-consuming to collect.More | Talk | Read It Later | Share

The most important effects stemming from Justice Anthony Kennedy’s retirement will be on how the Supreme Court rules on landmark cases on issues ranging from abortion to gerrymandering.

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You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news.

By analyzing the statistical fingerprints of every performance by every player to appear in a World Cup since 1966,3 FiveThirtyEight’s new interactive tool — 50 Years Of World Cup Doppelgangers — can give a realistic sense of how great or lousy each performance in Russia this month is by comparing them to how othe

The U.S. Energy Information Administration released its 2017 Annual Energy Outlook on Thursday. The report models possible futures for energy-related statistics over the next 34 years — including the price of wind power, the amount of energy used by an office building, or the total amount of energy consumed in the United States.More | Talk | Read It Later | Share

On Feb. 6, 2009, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the first jobs report of Barack Obama’s presidency. It was a doozy. Employers had slashed 598,000 jobs in January, the report said.More | Talk | Read It Later | Share