SocGen warns that the current low-volatility environment is a lot like the one leading up to the last financial crisis.Reuters / John Gress Markets have rallied this year, but the US is still facing a significant risk of recession, Capital Economics warned. That's because financial conditions are the tightest they've been since 2008. Warning signs of a downturn have emerged in the credit market and money supply data. Thee US is still on the precipice of a recession despite stocks rallying this year amid forecasts of a soft landing, and according to a note from Capital Economics on Thursday, the economy is under the most pressure since the Great Financial Crisis in 2008.