Polls are a centerpiece of our political news, especially as we get closer to Election Day. Journalists and forecasters will lean on these surveys to answer the question that will define the next five-plus weeks: Who will win? Kamala Harris or Donald Trump? The pressure to break the news first creates a danger represented most infamously by a three-word Chicago Tribune headline: “Dewey Defeats Truman.” This blunder stemmed from the certainty that journalists felt, based on the polls, that New York Governor Thomas Dewey would defeat President Harry Truman in 1948. [time-brightcove not-tgx=”true”] Washington, D.C.-based business journalist W.
History Exposes The Perils Of Relying On Polls
Rob Wells / Made by History, Time
Wed, 09/25/2024 - 6:00am
Topics: election day journalists kamala harris donald chicago tribune ldquo;dewey defeats new york governor thomas president harry d.c m ldquo;kip&rdquo kiplinger m m do.&rdquo deal m kiplinger&rsquo m read political polls like pro ldquo;months ahead&rdquo august republicans ldquo;in november president&hellip december george bryant administration gallup roper crossley m literary digest herbert hoover m ldquo;they john hazard m m do&rdquo day robert ames democratic virginia eventually subscriber m m feeding liberals another blue m m york times nbc radio there&rsquo the kiplinger hazard rob wells ph.d philip m journalism m insider kiplinger newsletter bridged washington wall street university m press m m day on i trump w dewey washington m kiplinger in kiplinger washington letter kiplinger washington letter read polls november ldquo;i bryant gale kiplinger the ames time university recalled truman staff danger newsroom company told run doubled staff’s votes asked put author ldquo;what full-page surveys declared column developed years plan leave excellent due fell reporters year forecasts plenty clear sat
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