“President Joe Biden’s most likely path to re-election is a narrow one that relies on the same three states that gave Donald Trump the Oval Office in 2016 and then yanked it away from him in 2020 — Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin — along with a single electoral vote from an Omaha-based congressional district,” NBC News reports. “Put another way, if Trump takes any of the Big Three Rust Belt states in November, it is probably an indication that he has won back the White House.