New Republic: “In many ways, the polling debate of 2024 comes down to this dilemma. On the one hand, pollsters undercounted Donald Trump’s vote in 2016 and 2020. On the other, in 2022, some of the averages, fed by GOP data, inspired certain observers to discern the infamous red wave that never materialized.

Topics:  republic   donald trump s   gop   democratic   supreme court    the   on   trump   polls   averages   vote   observers   
BING NEWS:
  • Playbook: The Wall Street mogul roiling Trump world
    Minnesota Gov. TIM WALZ will make a local stop in St. Paul in the morning, while his interview on Univision Radio’s “El Bueno La Mala y El Feo” will air at 9:20 a.m. He’ll travel to Louisville, ...
    10/22/2024 - 11:20 pm | View Link
  • “Red Wave” Redux: Are GOP Polls Rigging the Averages in Trump’s Favor?
    Polling by right-leaning firms has exploded this cycle. Maybe they want to be accurate—or maybe they’re trying to create a sense of momentum for Donald Trump.
    10/22/2024 - 10:19 pm | View Link
  • Harris and Trump are tied in the polls with 2 weeks to go. Here's how to make sense of the numbers.
    A quick Yahoo News guide to what the latest polls can — and can’t — tell you about who will win the 2024 presidential election.
    10/22/2024 - 6:24 am | View Link
  • Two Theories for Why the Polls Failed in 2020, and What It Means for 2024
    This theory holds that pollsters simply can’t reach enough of the least politically engaged voters — and these voters overwhelmingly back Mr. Trump. The polls can do fine in midterm elections, when ...
    10/22/2024 - 2:22 am | View Link
  • How Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Polls Look Two Weeks Before Election
    Pollster Nate Silver, who founded 538 and now uses a similar forecast model, gives Harris a national average poll lead over Trump of 1.6 points (48.8 percent to 47.2 percent) in his most recent update ...
    10/21/2024 - 9:01 pm | View Link
  • More

 

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